ensemble-forecasting

Multi-platform prediction market trading bot: trades weather temperature markets on Kalshi (KXHIGH series) and Polymarket using 31-member GFS ensemble forecasts + BTC 5-min microstructure signals. Kelly criterion sizing, signal calibration, React dashboard. (Highest profits $1.8k)

[ICML 2026] U-Cast: A Surprisingly Simple and Efficient Frontier Probabilistic AI Weather Forecaster

Weather intelligence command center for Polymarket temperature markets: multi-model forecasts, live ASOS/METAR observations, bucket probabilities and market edge across 41 cities

AI weather trading bot for Kalshi - 82-member dual ensemble forecasting with NWS bias correction

Interactive Streamlit dashboard to verify gridded rainfall/precipitation forecasts (deterministic & ensemble, NetCDF + GRIB2) against observations — POD/FAR/CSI/ETS/HSS, EDI/SEDI/EDS/SEDS, Brier/BSS/CRPS, FSS & CRA, reliability/ROC/rank/PIT/Taylor plots, per-cell score maps, bootstrap CIs, CSV/PNG export. Runs on bundled demo data.

Interactive reservoir water balance and ensemble forecasting application. Integrates Sentinel-2 data, GLEAM evaporation, and robust seasonal trend analysis via a modular Streamlit dashboard

Postcode-precise UK weather forecast. Reads the terrain around your exact spot (valleys, frost hollows, hilltops), blends 156 ensemble members from 5 national weather centres incl. the Met Office, and verifies itself against real rain gauges. Free, no ads, no tracking.

Heat-aware work/rest scheduling for Gulf outdoor labour: turns public WBGT forecasts into an hourly plan that cuts peak heat strain vs. the fixed calendar ban at equal output. Includes a calibrated GEFS reforecast ensemble and an optional LLM layer for rule extraction and grounded briefings.

Privacy-first hybrid AI weather prototype: fuses multiple forecast models (Open-Meteo, NVIDIA Earth-2, OpenWeatherMap) with computer-vision verification from legally-accessible public webcams. No browser Geolocation API, no IP logging.